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2008 WSOP Main Event Final Table
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-04 03:13:44
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Turns out the cool technology I was going to use doesn't quite match up to this problem as well as I was hoping. Maybe for next year we can do something slick, but for now, just paste your predictions in this thread and we'll see who gets closest. I can do some quick tallying. Assume you get more points for getting the top places right and maybe order will matter, but probably not, as that's too complicated. If somebody else wants to do something more formal, awesome :)
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Posted by
jonschwartz
2008-11-04 23:12:47
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Alexis said:
Ylon Schwartz ??? 12,525,000 starting chips
Jinxed, will be one of the first 3 out.
lame :-p
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Posted by
jonschwartz
2008-11-05 12:55:06
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Alexis said:
What is he, your cousin?
I was just saying he's had trouble finishing top 3. He's cashed a lot, granted, but just seems jinxed because he's a very good and consistent player, is all.
I hope I'm wrong.
no i'm not related to him, at least not that i know of. but how could i not root for the schwartz?
here are my predictions:
9. kim
8. montgomery
7. marquis
6. schwartz (looks like i'll have to be the first schwartz main event champion)
5. suharto
4. phillips
3. rheem
2. eastgate
1. demidov
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-05 17:56:41
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My Predictions:
- Demidov
- Rheem
- Phillips
- Eastgate
- Montgomery
- Schwartz
- Suharto
- Marquis
- Kim
BTW, you can bet about this on Bodog :p
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-05 17:57:39
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I'm gonna scrape this forum thread for everybody's votes on Friday the 7th, so get your votes in before that evening.
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Posted by
Mr. Segan
2008-11-05 19:55:52
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My Predictions:
1. Rheem
2. Demidov
3. Phillips
4. Eastgate
5. Montgomery
6. Schwartz
7. Marquis
8. Suharto
9. Kim
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-09 04:32:32
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These are the final predictions.
Alexis
- David Rheem
- Dennis Phillips
- Peter Eastgate
- Ivan Demidov
- Scott Montgomery
- Darus Suharto
- Kelly Kim
- Ylon Schwartz
- Craig Marquis
Dave W
- Ivan Demidov
- Dennis Phillips
- Peter Eastgate
- David Rheem
- Darus Suharto
- Scott Montgomery
- Craig Marquis
- Ylon Schwartz
- Kelly Kim
Sheila
- Ivan Demidov
- Peter Eastgate
- Dennis Phillips
- Darus Suharto
- David Rheem
- Ylon Schwartz
- Scott Montgomery
- Kelly Kim
- Craig Marquis
Jon Schwartz
- demidov
- eastgate
- rheem
- phillips
- suharto
- schwartz
- marquis
- montgomery
- kim
Jason
- Demidov
- Rheem
- Phillips
- Eastgate
- Montgomery
- Schwartz
- Suharto
- Marquis
- Kim
Parag
- Rheem
- Demidov
- Phillips
- Eastgate
- Montgomery
- Schwartz
- Marquis
- Suharto
- Kim
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Posted by
Pokermom
2008-11-09 23:22:41
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Results!
1. Peter Eastgate
2. Ivan Demidov
3. Dennis Phillips
4. Ylon Schwartz
5. Scott Montgomery
6. Darus Suharto
7. David "Chino" Rheem
8. Kelly Kim
9. Craig Marquis
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-10 01:33:54
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So far nobody has any points (for the strict scoring). Damn!
I propose a new scoring system to make it more interesting...
For each place, you get points based on close the player you picked ended up to that place. For example, if you picked Kim to get 9th and he actually got 8th, the "distance" is one. If you picked Kim to win it all and he got 8th, the "distance" is 7. The larger the distance, the less points. And to make the top finished more important, those are more heavily weighted.
- P = place (1st, 2nd, 3rd, ...)
- D = distance
per-place formula = (9 - D) x (10 - P)
Total points is equal to the discrete summation of that formula as P goes from 1 to 9.
I'll work up a spreadsheet in a while that will score for both the "standard" and this "nifty" method and try to update it as players go out. Weeeeee.
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Posted by
Sheila
2008-11-10 02:04:31
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Results!
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.Chino =(
8. Kelly Kim
9. Craig Marquis
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-10 05:48:19
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As of Schwartz getting knocked out...
Simple Scoring
Remember, these are for guessing the exact place a person goes out. Nobody picked Schwartz for 4th, so the points stay the same...
| Predictor | Score |
|---|
| Alexis | 10 |
| Dave | 0 |
| Sheila | 3 |
| Jon | 0 |
| Jason | 5 |
| Parag | 5 |
Crazy Scoring
This scoring method gives credit for estimating a player's finish (rather than being right on) and linearly gives more points for guessing first place.
per-place formula = (9 - D) x (10 - P) (see previous thread posts for further discussion)
| Predictor | Score |
|---|
| Alexis | 145 |
| Dave | 143 |
| Sheila | 153 |
| Jon | 142 |
| Jason | 155 |
| Parag | 147 |
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-10 08:23:02
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Bed time! Sorry, but I'll have to update the prediction scores in the morning. Good luck Demidov! :)
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Posted by
Jason M
2008-11-10 17:04:18
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As of Phillips getting knocked out...
Simple Scoring
Remember, these are for guessing the exact place a person goes out. Nobody picked Schwartz for 4th, so the points stay the same...
| Predictor | Score |
|---|
| Alexis | 10 |
| Dave | 0 |
| Sheila | 10 |
| Jon | 0 |
| Jason | 12 |
| Parag | 12 |
Crazy Scoring
This scoring method gives credit for estimating a player's finish (rather than being right on) and linearly gives more points for guessing first place.
per-place formula = (9 - D) x (10 - P) (see previous thread posts for further discussion)
| Predictor | Score |
|---|
| Alexis | 201 |
| Dave | 199 |
| Sheila | 216 |
| Jon | 198 |
| Jason | 218 |
| Parag | 210 |
Locked Up?
No matter who wins the WSOP, Sheila wins the "crazy" prediction method. If Demidov wins, she also wins the simple scoring. If Eastgate wins, Parag wins the simple scoring. Nice work!
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Posted by
Pokermom
2008-11-10 17:33:54
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What was the bet? Shall I bring $10 to Sheila's game next week?
Hey, Sheila, want to buy a lottery ticket with me? :>
CONGRATS, SHEILA!!!!
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lexis
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Posted by
Sheila
2008-11-10 21:33:12
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Whoa!!! Pretty cool. Sure Alexis let me get a good vibe on some numbers for you (LOL)